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Our views 01 July 2026

The case for a low volatility Absolute Return Government Bond fund

8 min read

Uncertainty can be an opportunity

Today’s fixed income environment is an uncertain one. There are several factors behind this - both macroeconomic and geopolitical. Political developments are a key source of that uncertainty. The election of Donald Trump has reintroduced a more unpredictable US policy backdrop, with potential changes to trade, NATO commitments and energy strategy all in focus. This is already influencing behaviour elsewhere. European governments are signalling higher defence spending, with Germany prepared to loosen fiscal constraints to support this shift. At the same time, a busy electoral calendar in France and Italy, alongside a more challenging domestic backdrop for the UK government, adds to the sense of a less stable and less predictable policy environment.

Read the full PDF: The case for a low volatility Absolute Return Government Bond fund

For professional investors only.  This material is not suitable for a retail audience. Capital at risk. This is a financial promotion and is not investment advice. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. Reference to any security is for information purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell.

Investment Risks

Investment Risk: The value of investments and any income from them may go down as well as up and is not guaranteed. Investors may not get back the amount invested.

Credit Risk: Should the issuer of a fixed income security become unable to make income or capital payments, or their rating is downgraded, the value of that investment will fall. Fixed income securities that have a lower credit rating can pay a higher level of income and have an increased risk of default.

Derivative Risk: Derivatives are highly sensitive to changes in the value of the underlying asset which can increase both Fund losses and gains. The impact to the Fund can be greater where they are used in an extensive or complex manner, where the Fund could lose significantly more than the amount invested in derivatives.

Efficient Portfolio Management Techniques: The Fund may engage in EPM techniques including holdings of derivative instruments. Whilst intended to reduce risk, the use of these instruments may expose the Fund to increased price volatility.

Exchange Rate Risk: Investing in assets denominated in a currency other than the base currency of the Fund means the value of the investment can be affected by changes in exchange rates.

Interest Rate Risk: Fixed interest securities are particularly affected by trends in interest rates and inflation. If interest rates go up, the value of capital may fall, and vice versa. Inflation will also decrease the real value of capital.

Liquidity Risk: In difficult market conditions the value of certain fund investments may be difficult to value and harder to sell, or sell at a fair price, resulting in unpredictable falls in the value of your holding.

Counterparty Risk: The insolvency of any institutions providing services such as safekeeping of assets or acting as counterparty to derivatives or other instruments, may expose the Fund to financial loss.

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